Competition Analysis - by the Freakishly Tall Husband

The Chipmunk lost 2.64% of his body weight in a week. He obtained a huge TFL because he’s been working out for only a week. His number is impressive and I think it’s got the rest of the competitors worried. But look at a few of the people who have been working out much longer.

• The Seed – Lost just shy of 5% of his body weight in his 5th week of working out. TFL increased 242%! That’s a ridiculous change…he’s the one everyone should be watching out for.


• Sassy – Lost just under 2% of her body weight this week. TFL increased 51% in her 7th week working out. Those numbers are really impressive considering she’s been working out for so long.


• P – TFL increased 57% in a week.


• BR – She hit a plateau this week and didn’t lose any more weight. Her TFL dropped by almost 15%.


• Sherpa – Despite her 8 hour workouts, personal trainer, 300 calorie a day schedule, her TFL dropped either 7% or 25% (depends on which of her initial TFL calculations was correct).
  
  (I’m missing total time spent working out for most of you though, so my analyses aren’t very complete.)

This competition is still wide open. Chipmunk will most likely peak after that large first week weight loss. If he loses no more weight this week, his TFL drops in half! That would put him in third place in the current standings. Having just started out, he can post huge numbers, but they can drop just as fast.

I expect the Seed to slow his climb as well based on his huge number this week, but since he’s been working out longer, his TFL won’t be affected as much.

And I think there are a few people midpack who might just throw a few surprises into this competition. I’m not ready to place my bet on a winner yet. This competition still feels pretty wide open to me.